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Analysis

What the numbers say

Close readings of recent results. Each piece sets what the polls and surveys said before voting against what the voters actually did, using the Election Commission's results and clearly named outside sources.

Assembly elections

State results: what the polls said and what the voters did.

How we work: results come from the Election Commission of India. Claims about why voters chose as they did are always credited to a named survey, outlet or analyst, and we say when something is our own reading of the numbers. Not sure how something works? See the election explainers.

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